Archive for April, 2008

The 14,650 Coincidence

Note: This post is related to the Digging Deep page titled “Our Stanley Park.” If you haven’t read it yet, you may wish to read it first.

A reader recently clued me in that the population of the proposed development on the Garden City Lands development can be estimated with much simpler calculations than we’ve previously used in this blog. The idea was to use Richmond city staff’s own estimates of the total floor area, as provided on page 10 of the Dec. 13, 2007, staff report to council.

Assuming that development would occur on only 50% of the land, staff calculated the total floor area as a maximum of 6,294,800 square feet. The actual total would be very close to that figure because:

  • Developers build to the maximum allowed.
  • In this case, the master plan developers would plan and approve the rezoning. (Naturally the city would approve the rezoning too, but the developers are in the stronger position to impose their wishes.)

That figure does not include parking and balconies. In effect, it also doesn’t include common areas in the buildings either, since Richmond’s zoning typically allows a sort of bonus of about 10% extra floor area for “public amenities” such as hallways. To estimate the population, we therefore only need to (a) divide the total floor area by the floor area of an average unit and (b) then multiply by the number of people in an average household.

Let’s be generous and consider that the average unit would be 1200 square feet. For the number of units, the calculation is simply 6,294,800 sq. ft. ÷ 1200 sq. ft./unit = 5,245 units. For the average household, we can simply use the Richmond average in the 2006 census, 2.8 people. Assuming one household per unit, the calculation is this: 5,245 households × 2.8 people/household = 14,686 people.

The total floor area might be slightly lower, but the average size of a unit would likely be lower too, so we’ve come up with a pretty realistic figure for the population. The funny thing about it is how well it supports what Richmond citizens have been saying all along about the amount of parkland the Garden City Lands agreements would make available: just enough to provide green space for the development.

Bear in mind that there the city has a standard of 3.25 acres of park within the City Centre for each thousand people living within the City Centre. The maximum number of acres of available parkland in the development, if it goes ahead, is 47.6 acres. To find out how many residents that would support, we can use another simple calculation: 47.6 acres ÷ 3.25 acres/1,000 residents = 14,646 residents.

Bringing those figures together, the developed Garden City Lands would have a population of 14,686 and enough City Centre park for 14,646 residents. Rounding those numbers slightly, we can say that the development would be accompanied by just enough park to meet the City Centre park requirement for its own population of 14,650.

Of course, Richmond’s park requirements are more complex. In a slightly confusing but useful way, the City Centre standard only supplements the main standard (and does not replace it). If the Garden City Lands development goes ahead, then somewhere in Richmond a lot more park will have to be found to meet that main city-wide park requirement, which is 7.66 acres per thousand people. But that’s another story. You can read about it on the new Digging Deep page, “Our Stanley Park.”

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Learning from ALC Commissioner Karlsen

A letter from Agricultural Land Commissioner Erik Karlsen to a reader of this blog is illuminating. Before you read the following comments, you may wish to download Mr. Karlsen’s letter in Word so that you can refer to it.

In particular, it is clear that there is no reasonably foreseeable circumstance in which the Garden City Lands will stop being subject to ALR protection from development unless the City of Richmond somehow persuades the Agricultural Land Commission to exclude the property.

The sliver of uncertainty stems from the possibility that the Band would somehow find an alternative way to obtain possession of part or all of the Lands, even though CLC is supposed to give the City the right of first refusal during the life of the agreements, which should continue after the commission’s decision. After that, the Band would have to somehow obtain reserve status for its new property. Reserve status would be very hard to get, and it would not be desirable for the Band for any obvious reason. If the purpose would be to make things difficult for Richmond, the federal government would presumably not grant it —and the Band would presumably not even seek it for such a purpose.

In any case, the far-fetched reserve issue is irrelevant to the question of whether the Garden City Lands should or should not be excluded from the ALR. Under the existing agreements, both of which include the Band, the Band has the right to obtain one quarter of the property, rather than to just split the profits (with CLC) from the rezoning of the Development Lands. In theory, the Band could then seek reserve status for that land. Whether the Band were to obtain Garden City Lands property like that or through renegotiation of the existing agreements or somehow in some other way, its chances of getting the land recognized as a reserve would be the same: slim to none.

Essentially, Mr. Karlsen’s letter is further evidence that the Garden City Lands will almost certainly remain green and in the ALR if the Agricultural Land Commission turns down the current application to exclude the Lands.

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Signing the Online Petition

The recent public hearings about Richmond’s Garden City lands were a window on public opinion about the issue. The majority of those who spoke were against removing the land from the Agricultural Land Reserve. The majority of those who signed written submissions were also opposed. That confirmed the strong support for saving the lands in online newspaper polls.

Those results are surprising, since the consortium that wants to use that green open area for high-density development has gone to such lengths to sway opinion. However, while there are certainly many strong “Save the Garden City Lands” supporters, the breadth of public support is another matter that is less clear. To gauge it, I have set up an online petition.

As an aside, I should mention that the online petition has good protection of privacy. Every signer’s email address is required, since it’s used for validation, but it’s kept in a secure database and never shown online.

The online petition is available, with a Chinese translation, at http://www.gardencitylands.ca. I will leave it open for a few weeks. Regardless of how many people sign, I will then share the results with the Agricultural Land Commission. One way or the other, the number of people who support the petition request to save the Garden City Lands is bound to influence the commission’s decision about whether to keep the lands in the ALR.

I expect that citizens will  mostly express their support online, but there will also be signatures on a paper copy of the petition that some people prefer to use.

Your input, via http://www.gardencitylands.ca will be much appreciated.

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John Cummins re Canada Lands

At the website of John Cummins, MP for Delta-Richmond East, John Cummins has posted a letter that he recently sent to the president of Canada Lands Company Limited about the Garden City Lands. In the letter, Mr. Cummins correctly points out an inconsistency related to the kind of interest that the Musqueam hold in the property. He refers to statements that were made at the public hearings and reported in the Richmond Review.

The Musqueam lawyer, with support from a representative of Canada Lands Company and/or its wholly owned subsidiary, Canada Lands Company CLC, appeared to state that the Musqueam are half owners of the property. In contrast, the “MOU,” an agreement signed by a representative of the Canadian government that led to the transfer of the land from the federal government to CLC, expresses the Musqueam interest quite differently.

Perhaps the president of Canada Lands Company will be able to explain adequately, although it’s hard to imagine how. In the meantime, the appearance is that there are two main possiblities. Either:

  • Canada Lands Company and/or CLC are misrepresenting the Musqueam’s interest, or
  • CLC has disposed of the property in a way that was inconsistent with the conditions under which the federal government transferred the property to CLC.

As things currently appear, in either case the ramifications are serious.

That’s the main point, and the following is a sort of footnote. Canada Lands Company is a crown corporation, whereas its wholly owned subsidiary CLC is a real-estate flipping company that technically is not a crown corporation. However, the representatives of the companies blur the distinction. For example, on the final day of the hearings, Randy Fasan of CLC introduced himself as being from Canada Lands Company. Both that typical behaviour and common sense dictate that CLC should be acting with the same openness and integrity as a crown corporation.

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Shane McMillan’s Address to the Public Hearing

Many citizens spoke eloquently at the Garden City Lands public hearings. One of them was Shane McMillan. After completing a degree in communications at Simon Fraser University, Shane is studying horticulture at Kwantlen University College. He had previously spoken to Richmond Council in support of Kwantlen’s urban agriculture education concept, which would be a very appropriate use for the Garden City Lands. In this presentation, available here in PDF, Shane spoke simply as an informed citizen.

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Why the Application Makes No Sense

 At the Garden City Lands public hearings, I made an early presentation that was intended to be a Garden City Lands Coalition rebuttal of the main points in the development consortium’s application. It’s over 7,500 words long, so you may prefer this short version, which is an executive summaryplus one or two additional points:

1.     The advice of Richmond-hired aboriginal law expert Keith Clark supported what Councillor Steves has said for months. Mr. Clark called Musqueam land title claims on the Garden City Lands a “red herring.”

2.     The Garden City Lands development would not even provide enough parkland for its own population. Purchasing parkland to make up for the shortfall would cost the people of Richmond over 150 million dollars.

3.     Having the Garden City Lands as 136 acres of park would eventually save the city from having to buy that amount of City Centre parkland at City Centre land prices, which are at least $5 million an acre. That would save the people of Richmond well over 600 million dollars.

4.     The agricultural park proposed by those who want to keep the lands in the ALR would be highly congruent with all five themes of the excellent new B.C. Agriculture Plan, with a huge benefit for agriculture. (And that’s just one of the major benefits for Richmond’s citizens and tourists.)

5.     The proposed mega-density development on farmland is not Smart Growth.

6.     If there is a decision to not exclude the Garden City lands from the ALR, Richmond should insist on keeping to the renegotiation process that is provided in the agreements and not allow anyone to tear up the agreements.

7.     In renegotiation during the life of the agreement of purchase and sale, Richmond has the right of first refusal to buy the property. Richmond will be able to use that right if CLC, along with the Musqueam, acts with community social responsibility or good faith or if it reciprocates the immense goodwill that the City has shown toward it.

8.     If the City does not believe that both those parties will act in that way when crunch time comes, then it needs to stop and step back, with the help of lawyers at Mr. Clark’s level, and rethink how to proceed with or without a partner it can’t trust.

In case that’s not enough for you, here’s a PDF of the full Jim Wright submission to the Garden City Lands Public Hearing.

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